Situational Awareness

Threats, Situational Awareness and Perspective
August 22, 2007 1806 GMT
By Fred Burton and Scott Stewart
In last week’s Terrorism Intelligence Report, we said U.S. counterterrorism sources remain concerned an attack will occur on U.S. soil in the next few weeks. Although we are skeptical of these reports, al Qaeda and other jihadists do retain the ability — and the burning desire — to conduct tactical strikes within the United States. One thing we did not say last week, however, was that we publish such reports not to frighten readers, but to impress upon them the need for preparedness, which does not mean paranoia.
Fear and paranoia, in fact, are counterproductive to good personal and national security. As such, we have attempted over the past few years to place what we consider hyped threats into the proper perspective. To this end, we have addressed threats such as al Qaeda’s chemical and biological weapons capabilities, reports of a looming “American Hiroshima” nuclear attack against the United States, the dirty bomb threat, the smoky bomb threat, and the threat of so-called “mubtakkar devices”, among others.
Though some threats are indeed hyped, the world nonetheless remains a dangerous place. Undoubtedly, at this very moment some people are seeking ways to carry out attacks against targets in the United States. Moreover, terrorism attacks are not the only threat — far more people are victimized by common criminals. Does this reality mean that people need to live in constant fear and paranoia? Not at all. If people do live that way, those who seek to terrorize them have won. However, by taking a few relatively simple precautions and adjusting their mindsets, people can live less-stressful lives during these uncertain times. One of the keys to personal preparedness and protection is to have a contingency plan in place in the event of an attack or other major emergency. The second element is practicing situational awareness.
The Proper State of Mind
Situational awareness is the process of recognizing a threat at an early stage and taking measures to avoid it. Being observant of one’s surroundings and identifying potential threats and dangerous situations is more of an attitude or mindset than it is a hard skill. Because of this, situational awareness is not just a process that can be practiced by highly trained government agents or specialized corporate security countersurveillance teams — it can be adopted and employed by anyone.
An important element of this mindset is first coming to the realization that a threat exists. Ignorance or denial of a threat — or completely tuning out to one’s surroundings while in a public place — makes a person’s chances of quickly recognizing the threat and avoiding it slim to none. This is why apathy, denial and complacency are so deadly.
An example is the case of Terry Anderson, the Associated Press bureau chief in Lebanon who was kidnapped March 16, 1985. The day before his abduction, Anderson was driving in Beirut traffic when a car pulled in front of his and nearly blocked him in. Due to the traffic situation, and undoubtedly a bit of luck, Anderson was able to avoid what he thought was an automobile accident — even though events like these can be hallmarks of pre-operational planning. The next day, Anderson’s luck ran out as the same vehicle successfully blocked his vehicle in the same spot. Anderson was pulled from his vehicle at gunpoint — and held hostage for six years and nine months.
Clearly, few of us are living in the type of civil war conditions that Anderson faced in 1985 Beirut. Nonetheless, average citizens face all kinds of threats today — from common thieves and assailants to criminals and mentally disturbed individuals who aim to conduct violent acts in the school, mall or workplace, to militants wanting to carry out large-scale attacks. Should an attack occur, then, a person with a complacent or apathetic mindset will be taken completely by surprise and could freeze up in shock and denial as their minds are forced to quickly adjust to a newly recognized and unforeseen situational reality. That person is in no condition to react, flee or resist.
Denial and complacency, however, are not the only hazardous states of mind. As mentioned above, paranoia and obsessive concern about one’s safety and security can be just as dangerous. There are times when it is important to be on heightened alert — a woman walking alone in a dark parking lot is one example — but people are simply not designed to operate in a state of heightened awareness for extended periods of time. The body’s “flight or fight” response is helpful in a sudden emergency, but a constant stream of adrenalin and stress leads to mental and physical burnout. It is very hard for people to be aware of their surroundings when they are completely fried.
Situational awareness, then, is best practiced at a balanced level referred to as “relaxed awareness,” a state of mind that can be maintained indefinitely without all the stress associated with being on constant alert. Relaxed awareness is not tiring, and allows people to enjoy life while paying attention to their surroundings.
When people are in a state of relaxed awareness, it is far easier to make the transition to a state of heightened awareness than it is to jump all the way from complacency to heightened awareness. So, if something out of the ordinary occurs, those practicing relaxed awareness can heighten their awareness while they attempt to determine whether the anomaly is indeed a threat. If it is, they can take action to avoid it; if it is not, they can stand down and return to a state of relaxed awareness.
The Telltale Signs
What are we looking for while we are in a state of relaxed awareness? Essentially the same things we discussed when we described what bad surveillance looks like. It is important to remember that almost every criminal act, from a purse-snatching to a terrorist bombing, involves some degree of pre-operational surveillance and that criminals are vulnerable to detection during that time. This is because criminals, even militants planning terrorist attacks, often are quite sloppy when they are casing their intended targets. They have been able to get away with their sloppy practices for so long because most people simply do not look for them. On the positive side, however, that also means that people who are looking can spot them fairly easily.
The U.S. government uses the acronym TEDD to illustrate the principles one can use to identify surveillance, but these same principles also can be used to identify criminal threats. TEDD stands for Time, Environment, Distance and Demeanor. In other words, if a person sees someone repeatedly over time, in different environments and over distance, or one who displays poor demeanor, then that person can assume he or she is under surveillance. If a person is the specific target of a planned attack, he or she might be exposed to the time, environment and distance elements of TEDD, but if the subway car the person is riding in or the building where the person works is the target, he or she might only have the element of demeanor to key on. This also is true in the case of criminals who behave like “ambush predators” and lurk in an area waiting for a victim. Because their attack cycle is extremely condensed, the most important element to watch for is demeanor.
By poor demeanor, we simply mean a person is acting unnaturally. This behavior can look blatantly suspicious, such as someone who is lurking and/or has no reason for being where he is or for doing what he is doing. Sometimes, however, poor demeanor can be more subtle, encompassing almost imperceptible behaviors that the target senses more than observes. Other giveaways include moving when the target moves, communicating when the target moves, avoiding eye contact with the target, making sudden turns or stops, or even using hand signals to communicate with other members of a surveillance team.
In the terrorism realm, exhibiting poor demeanor also can include wearing unseasonably warm clothing, such as trench coats in the summer; displaying odd bulges under clothing or wires protruding from clothing; unnaturally sweating, mumbling or fidgeting; or attempting to avoid security personnel. In addition, according to some reports, suicide bombers often exhibit an intense stare as they approach the final stages of their mission. They seem to have tunnel vision, being able to focus only on their intended target.
Perspective
We have seen no hard intelligence that supports the assertions that a jihadist attack will occur in the next few weeks and are somewhat skeptical about such reports. Regardless of whether our U.S. counterterrorism sources are correct this time, though, the world remains a dangerous place. Al Qaeda, grassroots jihadists and domestic militants of several different political persuasions have the desire and capability to conduct attacks. Meanwhile, criminals and mentally disturbed individuals, such as the Virginia Tech shooter, appear to be getting more violent every day.
In the big picture, violence and terrorism have always been a part of the human condition. The Chinese built the Great Wall for a reason other than tourism. Today’s “terrorists” are far less dangerous to society as a whole than were the Viking berserkers and barbarian tribes who terrorized Europe for centuries, and the ragtag collection of men who have sworn allegiance to Osama bin Laden pose far less of a threat to Western civilization than the large, battle-hardened army Abdul Rahman al-Ghafiqi led into the heart of France in 732.
Terrorist attacks are designed to have a psychological impact that far outweighs the actual physical damage caused by the attack itself. Denying the perpetrators this multiplication effect — as the British did after the July 2005 subway bombings — prevents them from accomplishing their greater goals. Therefore, people should prepare, plan and practice relaxed awareness — and not let paranoia and the fear of terrorism and crime rob them of the joy of life.


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The matter of Detective Tuason

Reference http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,585807,00.html?loomia_ow=t0:s0:a4:g4:r3:c0.000000:b0:z5

On his Facebook page, a police detective in California advocated "proning out" anyone openly carrying a firearm and then shooting them if they moved. The problem is that it is legal to carry an unloaded firearm openly in California. So now there is a Facebook group for folks who want to Detectice Tuason to be fired.

This raises some interesting questions. It's a dilemma for us law-abiding gun owners. As good guys and conservatives, we want to be on the same side as the police. But they are not on our side.

Yes, one can find pro-Second Amendment police. I have a friend who is a US federal Drug Enforcement Agent who is as rabidly pro-Second Amendment as I am. The Sheriff's Department in the exurban Maryland county in which I reside will not respond when Washington, DC refugees call 911 to report target shooters. But by and large, cops don't want citizens to have guns. Let's discuss why.

1. Officer safety. Police have been trained that firearms in anyone's hands are a threat to them. Remember the gun confiscation that occurred in New Orleans after Hurricane Katrina? Remember all the cops who refused to report for duty, leaving the people defenseless except for whatever means of self-defense the people had? And then those same cops sallied forth to confiscate law-abiding citizens' firearms when the people needed them most. Police assume that everyone not wearing a cop uniform is a bad guy, and want to disarm and dominate everyone else in the name of "officer safety". Remember, unlike the military, the police are unionized. They worry about themselves before they worry about anyone else.

2. Police privilege. Back in the 1990s, in between tours of active duty in the US Army, I worked as a security guard. A lot of my fellow security guards wanted to grow up to be cops one day. When I'd ask them why they wanted to be cops, these were the reasons they stated:

a. I can drive as fast as I want and never get a speeding ticket.

b. I can carry a gun.

c. I can bully the people who used to bully me.

Just as only samurai were allowed to carry swords in feudal Japan, the police caste in our society want to be the only ones allowed to carry firearms. The police are the sheep dogs and they regard the rest of us as sheep. The police think that they are the only ones trained well enough to possess firearms. They think that the rest of us are incompetent and that we will only have our firearms taken away and used against us. As an infantryman who has consistently scored expert with both pistol and rifle for 23 years while observing police who were also reservists barely able to qualify, I have a different opinion.

3. Police culture. Police deal with liars and criminals all day long. They see everyone at their worst. People don't call 911 when they earn their Ph D or win the Nobel Prize. Police see the church pastor who snaps and hits his wife. They see the brain surgeon who has had a couple too many drinks and tries to drive home. Police think that if you are not home watching the football game, you are up to something criminal. To the police, your hobby makes you aberrant and suspect. If you are a gardener, you must be growing marijuana. If you are a martial artist, that ancient Japanese weapon in your gym bag is a concealed weapon and you are on your way to a gang fight, not your weekly class at the dojo. If you are a target shooter, you must be on the way to rob a bank with that Olympic-grade .22 rifle in your trunk. If you are a chemist, you must be making methamphetamine etc etc. Police culture is a culture of privilege and suspicion. It's a world of "us" and them. Don't be fooled into thinking that "us" includes anyone but police officers. The rest of us, even members of the military, are "them". Detective Tuason was doing us a favor when he let his all-too-common attitude be known.

Please post comments; I'm interested in your thoughts.

Rothbard on Self Defense

http://www.lewrockwell.com/rothbard/rothbard144.html

Do you have a right to self defense?

This blog will explore philosophical issues dealing with self defense. It may be of interest to martial artists, firearms enthusiasts, survivalists, crime victims, or anyone else interested in the subject of self defense against the full spectrum of threats.